The Bank of Zambia has maintained the Monetary Policy Rate at 11.5 percent.
Speaking at a media briefing in Lusaka, Bank of Zambia Governor Dr Danny Kalyalya said continued rise in inflation rate is one of the factors that earlier part of forecast period and thereafter decline towards the upper bound of the target range of 6 to 8 percent.
“Underlining this projection the effects of ongoing electricity supply challenges n and increased external debt service payments on inflation through the expectations and exchange rate channels.” the Governor said.
He noted that the upside risks to the inflation outlook included further increase in prices of maize grain and related products, the second round effects of the increase fuel and electricity prices and slower progress on fiscal consolidation.
“However it is envisaged that inflation could decline faster than currently projected on account of the anticipated improvement in agriculture output due to favorable rainfall observed so far during the 2019-2020 crop season” He explained.
Dr Kalyalaya further says Kwacha depreciated by 6.8 percent to a quarterly average of K13.86.
“The Kwacha depreciated against all the major trading partner curries on account of subdued supply of foreign exchange amidst escalating demand for the importation of petroleum products , electricity and agricultural inputs” He explained.
Dr Kalyalya said the pressure on the Kwacha mounted towards the end of November into December resulting in the Kwacha reaching K14 and K15 levels respectively.
Dr Kalyalya added that to moderate exchange rate pressure the bank had to increase the statutory reserve ratio and shifted compliance of the statutory reserve requirement from weekly to daily.
And Dr Kalylaya further said that indicators of economic activity suggest a further slowdown in growth in fourth quarter owing to the contraction in the mining output, electricity generation, and cement production consumer spending and manufacturing of selected products.